What’s moving, where, and why — for people who don’t speak insider. Every number on this page comes from a named public poll with a linked source, or it doesn’t appear at all.
Governor, a Senate special election, and the Cabinet seats that run elections, courts, and the state’s money.
FL · Governor
Election day: November 3, 2026
No current public poll on file for this race. When a credible poll publishes (pollster, sample, dates), it gets a card here with the source linked.
Declared candidates on file, not the certified ballot. Confirm against the state’s certified candidate list. Open seat — Ron DeSantis is term-limited. Nominees are set in Florida’s late-summer primary.
FL · U.S. Senate (special)
Election day: November 3, 2026
No current public poll on file for this race. When a credible poll publishes (pollster, sample, dates), it gets a card here with the source linked.
Declared candidates on file, not the certified ballot. Confirm against the state’s certified candidate list. The seat Marco Rubio vacated; Ashley Moody was appointed in 2025 and the 2026 special election fills the rest of the term. The Democratic field was not settled at our last check.
FL · Attorney General
Election day: November 3, 2026
No current public poll on file for this race. When a credible poll publishes (pollster, sample, dates), it gets a card here with the source linked.
Declared candidates on file, not the certified ballot. Confirm against the state’s certified candidate list. Uthmeier was appointed in 2025 when Ashley Moody moved to the Senate; the 2026 ballot decides the seat. The challenger field was not settled at our last check.
FL · Chief Financial Officer
Election day: November 3, 2026
No current public poll on file for this race. When a credible poll publishes (pollster, sample, dates), it gets a card here with the source linked.
Declared candidates on file, not the certified ballot. Confirm against the state’s certified candidate list. Ingoglia was appointed in 2025; the 2026 ballot decides the seat. The challenger field was not settled at our last check.
Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin — the seats where 2026 actually gets decided.
GA · U.S. Senate
Election day: November 3, 2026
No current public poll on file for this race. When a credible poll publishes (pollster, sample, dates), it gets a card here with the source linked.
Declared candidates on file, not the certified ballot. Confirm against the state’s certified candidate list. Georgia’s 2026 primary (and any runoff) sets the Republican nominee.
NC · U.S. Senate
Election day: November 3, 2026
No current public poll on file for this race. When a credible poll publishes (pollster, sample, dates), it gets a card here with the source linked.
Declared candidates on file, not the certified ballot. Confirm against the state’s certified candidate list. Open seat — Thom Tillis is not seeking re-election. North Carolina’s March 2026 primary set the nominees; confirm the certified matchup.
AZ · Governor
Election day: November 3, 2026
No current public poll on file for this race. When a credible poll publishes (pollster, sample, dates), it gets a card here with the source linked.
Declared candidates on file, not the certified ballot. Confirm against the state’s certified candidate list. Arizona’s late-summer primary sets the Republican nominee.
NV · Governor
Election day: November 3, 2026
No current public poll on file for this race. When a credible poll publishes (pollster, sample, dates), it gets a card here with the source linked.
Declared candidates on file, not the certified ballot. Confirm against the state’s certified candidate list.
MI · U.S. Senate
Election day: November 3, 2026
No current public poll on file for this race. When a credible poll publishes (pollster, sample, dates), it gets a card here with the source linked.
Declared candidates on file, not the certified ballot. Confirm against the state’s certified candidate list. Open seat — Gary Peters is not seeking re-election. Michigan’s August 2026 primary sets the nominees.
PA · Governor
Election day: November 3, 2026
No current public poll on file for this race. When a credible poll publishes (pollster, sample, dates), it gets a card here with the source linked.
Declared candidates on file, not the certified ballot. Confirm against the state’s certified candidate list. Pennsylvania’s May 2026 primary set the nominees; confirm the certified matchup.
WI · Governor
Election day: November 3, 2026
No current public poll on file for this race. When a credible poll publishes (pollster, sample, dates), it gets a card here with the source linked.
Declared candidates on file, not the certified ballot. Confirm against the state’s certified candidate list. Open seat — Tony Evers is not seeking a third term. Wisconsin’s August 2026 primary sets the nominees.